Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's Reelection Bid Is Not A 'Sure Thing'

Politico: Justin Trudeau's reelection bid hits the rocks

The Canadian leader faces unprecedented political peril as a fast-escalating scandal implicates him specifically.

All bets are now off about Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's political survival.

An ethics scandal has plunged Canada's government into disarray, with the prime minister himself facing unprecedented political peril.

A flood of new details allege Trudeau and several senior government officials repeatedly pressured his former attorney general to drop corruption charges against a large construction company and reach a settlement agreement. Trudeau's political opponents sent police a letter Thursday requesting an investigation and called for Trudeau's resignation.

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Update #1: Explained: the case that could bring down Canada's Justin Trudeau (Leyland Cecco. The Guardian)
Update #2: Justin Trudeau scandal: Former attorney general’s claims could bring down Canadian PM (The Independent)

WNU Editor: For those who may not know. I live in Canada and I have been following this story very closely. First things first .... I disagree with the above Politico's statement that before this scandal Prime Minister Justin's reelection appeared to be "nearly a lock". Liberal governments in Canada's largest provinces were easily defeated last year, and in swing ridings (like this one) the Liberals have been defeated. Support for the Liberals have also declined in the West because of their resource-oil policies, and I doubt that they will be winning the same number of seats that they did in 2015. In fact I see them losing almost all of them.The next critical election in Canada will be the provincial election in Alberta where (I predict) the governing NDP/Socialist Party will be completely crushed. But this will not translate into any support for the Liberals. As for Prime Minister Trudeau's election prospects later this year (October 21, 2019). This new scandal is very real, and it has destroyed the image of an ethical government that he has worked very hard to project. And while he has the advantage of facing a very weak opposition, his base of support are not happy with this scandal. They may not support the other parties, but they are not feeling motivated right now to go to the polls and vote for him. Bottom line. If there was an election today, he and his Liberal Party will be defeated.

Update: Yup .... Conservatives Would Win 2019 Federal Election If Held Today: Poll (Huffington Post)

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